La Serbia e i fantasmi della storia balcanica

10/5/2007

Brief scritta per il P.I.N.R.

Anti-European nationalism will remain a fundamental political force in Serbia in the coming years. In the short-term, political uncertainty is likely to persist, and in the case of early elections in July, pro-European forces will suffer from citizens’ low confidence in democratic institutions. Therefore, a strong pro-European course in Belgrade appears unlikely to take shape in the near future.

However, the economic implications of the anti-European turn could be negative for a country like Serbia, which has no strategic resources and lost its Adriatic outlet when Montenegro became independent. Weaker economic growth will likely create discontent in a country full of well-educated workers. Hence, in the medium term, modernizers could win the hearts and minds of Serbians since the country needs a stable and friendly environment to develop.