Il Ruolo dell’Iran Aumenta di Importanza
8/8/2006Neda Bolourchi, su Asia Times Online dell’8 agosto, spiega come il ruolo di Teheran nella guerra tra Israele ed Hezbollah stia mutando a mano a mano che il conflitto si protrae.
Nei primi giorni, l’Iran era percepito soprattutto come un attore destabilizzante, e fra in principali responsabili della grave crisi. Adesso, dopo un mese di scontri, la gran parte degli osservatori lo indica come “parte della soluzione”, e non solo del problema.
In altre parole, afferma Bolourchi, l’Iran deve essere coinvolto. Anche perché
[…] Iran will likely be a winner in the long term on three points. First, Iran has gained politically in the broad Muslim world as the only country standing by the Muslim and Arab cause in the face of Israeli aggression. Regardless of what the regimes of Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan say, the Arab street has and does support Iran’s populist policies. By attacking Hezbollah, Hamas or Iran, “America’s Arab allies” are merely seen as puppets of US hegemony in the Middle East. Such an issue is more and more relevant in the context of today’s digital world politics.
Second, as Iran is one of very few parties that have contact with Hezbollah, the crisis conveys that Tehran can be a restraining and pragmatic power. Thus the international attention given to the Islamic Republic during the crisis demonstrates that Iran is a large power to be reckoned with and not discounted regarding regional power politics. As a result, the Lebanese crisis displays the centrality of Iran in the future political arrangements of the region.
Third, Hezbollah by virtue of its political victory will play an even more political role in Lebanon. In turn, Iran gains more leverage and influence in the regional context. In gaining more influence in Lebanon, the Islamic Republic reinforces its centrality in the Middle East’s political agreements.
